Investors in Move Logistics Group (NZSE:MOV) have sadly lost 11% over the past three years


For many investors, the primary goal of stock picking is to generate returns that exceed those of the market as a whole. But in any portfolio, some stocks are likely to fall below this benchmark. We regret to report that in the long run Move Limited Logistics Group (NZSE:MOV) shareholders have had this experience, with the stock price falling 16% in three years, compared to a market decline of around 8.3%. That’s down 18% in about a month.

So let’s take a look and see if the long-term performance of the business has been in line with the progress of the underlying business.

Check out our latest analysis for Move Logistics Group

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, stock prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying trading performance. One way to look at how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company’s stock price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Move Logistics Group saw its share price fall in the three years in which its EPS also fell, falling to a loss. Due to the loss, it is not easy to use EPS as a reliable guide to business. However, we can say that we expect to see a decline in the stock price in this scenario.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see more details).

earnings per share growth

We appreciate the fact that insiders have been buying stocks over the past twelve months. That said, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. This free interactive report on Move Logistics Group profit, turnover and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We would be remiss not to mention the difference between Move Logistics Group total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price performance. The TSR attempts to capture the value of the dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any benefits or discounted capital increases offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really good for Move Logistics Group’s shareholders, and this cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 11%, over the past 3 years, isn’t as bad as the stock price return of the action.

A different perspective

Fortunately, Move Logistics Group’s total shareholder return last year was 16%. This certainly exceeds the loss of about 3% per year over three years. The optimist would say this is proof that the stock has bottomed out and better days lie ahead. While it is worth considering the various impacts that market conditions can have on the stock price, there are other, even more important factors. For example, we found 3 warning signs for Move Logistics Group which you should be aware of before investing here.

There are many other companies whose insiders buy shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies insiders are buying.

Please note that the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market-weighted average returns of the shares currently trading on New Zealand stock exchanges.

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This Simply Wall St article is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell stocks and does not take into account your objectives or financial situation. Our goal is to bring you targeted long-term analysis based on fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not take into account the latest announcements from price-sensitive companies or qualitative materials. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.